Monday, May 20, 2019
Explain the Causes and Consequences of the Iraq War Essay
On the twentieth of March 2003, US cruise missiles and bombs were dropped on Baghdad, Iraqs capital city. The target was the then Iraqi president, ibn Talal Hussein Husseins and his closest aides, who were believed to be in a meeting. It would be the start of a difference of opinion that would still be going strong seven years later. Even after so legion(predicate) years of US- conduct incursion, the reasons for invading Iraq are still debated worldwide.As Allawi (2007) urges in the history of conflicts and struggles, thither are several(prenominal) instances that match the onslaught and occupation for complexity of motive and ambiguity of utilisation1. As a result, the Iraq struggle or otherwise known as Operation Iraqi freedom was to become atomic number 53 of the close to controversial state of fights to date oddly because of the overwhelming international hostility. It is one of the most important events that affected the world, radically changing 21st century in ternational relations. This essay pass on be structured as follows the set-back section will explore the causes of the contend.It argues that the main cause of the war was the perceived threat of Iraqs bullheadedness of weapons of jalopy destruction. This study further argues an attempt to bring body politic to the expanse and getting rid of the frontrys authoritarian leader was another cause of the Iraq war. The second section will explore the consequences such of the war from four different perspectives the humanitarian consequences, the military consequences, the political consequences and finally the economic consequences. This will be followed by a conclusion.Hallenbery and Karlsson (2005) argue that the September 11th attacks on the twin towers in 2001 to some point led to the Iraq invasion. The attack on the twin towers is one of the events that changed the world forever. Soon after the attacks, the then president, George scrub Jr, publically televised Americas wa r on Terror. The first of Americas target was Afghanistan, in particular the Taliban who openly supported the nucleotide2and allowed Afghani territory to be used for training camps and bases3. withal even after the invasion of Afghanistan, America was still concerned close possible threats.The US reason out that the September 11th attacks showed that some countries could ally themselves with terrorist movements4 and most importantly provide them with weapons of mass destruction. bush-league was especially concerned by Saddam Husseins Iraq. It was well known that during the 1980/90s, Saddam had entry to weapons of mass destruction. He had used them on his own people, killing thousands of innocent Kurds during the attack on Halabja5. further much Saddam showed persistent hatred towards the west, especially America.The perceived threat of Saddam Husseins weapons of mass destruction was the main cause of the Iraq War. As already mentioned, soon after the September 11th attacks a nd the invasion of Afghanistan, Bush placed is attentions onto Iraq. Both the US government and the UK government argued that the invasion of Iraq was necessary for a twist of reasons. Firstly, it was seen as part of the axis of evil, alongside Iran and North Korea, accused of seeking weapons of mass destruction and luck terrorism. Secondly, Saddams regime was linked to Al-Qaeda.It was feared that he might pass the weapons of mass destruction to Al-Qaeda who could potentially use them against western republics. Thirdly, Iraq was accused of not only possessing WMDs that was developing more deadly ones6. During 2002, speech after speech, Bush argued that world giftd a universal problem Iraq. He pledged to work with the United Nations to deal with the issues posed by Iraq. By the turn back of 2002 the United Nations trade protection Council adopted resolution 1441 they gave their final opportunity to Saddam to comply with its disarmament obligations of face serious actions. sav e, by 2003, the US, UK and Spain introduced the second resolution arguing that Iraq failed to take the final opportunity provided by the UN Security Council to disarm. The second resolution meant the authorisation of immediate force to disarm Saddams Iraq. 8 However, Frances president Jack Chiroc argued that they would veto the resolution. Crisis talks were held with the leaders of the US, UK and Spain resulting in the withdrawal of the resolution.The very same evening, President Bush televised a live conference warning that if Saddam Hussein did not leave Iraq in 48 hours the result would be military conflict commenced at the conviction of our choosing9. Therefore the main cause of the Iraq War was the threat of Saddam Husseins claimed WMDs. Prior to the invasion, American policy makers too emphasised the in force(p) benefits likely to result from the removal of Saddam Husseins authoritarian regime into a husbandry of a democratic regime10. They argued that democratization of Iraq would rectify the well being of Iraqi citizens, politically and economically. what is more, and peradventure most importantly, the democratization of Iraq would help stimulate immenseer economic prosperity and promote further democracy in the rest of the middle east a region historically characterised by authoritarian governments where in that respect is a wide spread of conflict, inst capability and widespread poverty11. Moreover it was claimed that the democratization of Iraq would set the stage for the stoppage of conflicts that had plagued the Middle Eastern region for decades which would mean the chance to create lasting peace. 12 This next section will examine the consequences of the Iraq war.Soon after the US entered Iraq, the Baath party quickly crumbled. Many of the key members were killed soon after the invasion began. Saddam Hussein on the other hand, went on the run. This left the the country without a leader. Nine months after the war had begun, on the 14th o f declination, Saddam was finally captured. His capture would be the biggest, and some say only, accomplishment of the Iraq War. Shortly After his rise to originator, Saddams ruthless tendencies came to light. For example he would often use power to achieve his political goal, murdering any of his rivals.He invaded neighbours Iran in 1990 and Kuwait in 1991. He also created a secret police. The most disturbing of his actions could be seen in the events in teensy Kurdish town, in northern Iraq, called Halabja. As a result of Kurdish opposition, Iraqi aircraft dropped canisters believed to contain a lethal cocktail of the nerve agents sarin, tabun, VX and mustard gas on the town13. Over 5,000 civilians died, most to be believed women and children. Thousands of more were permanently affected14. Time and time again, Saddam showed no remorse slightly killing his own people.It is also believed he was also responsible for the deaths of his own daughters husbands. Altogether, although t here is no official count of how many a(prenominal) deaths Saddam caused, it is estimated to be around the region of 400, 00 to 50,000. Soon after his capture, Saddam was put on trial for crimes against humanity. He was found guilty killed and sentenced to death by hanging. He was hanged on the 30th December 2006. The removal of the brutal, ruthless, remorseless and genocidal leader is therefore seen a positive consequence of the Iraq War.Another consequence of the Iraq war is the failure to bring stability and democracy into the country. As already mentioned previously in this study, one of the causes of the war were to democratize the country which would in turn result into stability of not only the country barely the whole region. The US led optical fusion were able to take Iraq within a matter of weeks as the Iraqi army proved weak. Instead the coalition forces faced a guerrilla style war. insurgency intensified shortly after the war began. It seemed that almost, everyday th ere was a new story about some type of suicide gun attack.However even after seven years, such attacks in Iraq are still are nearly an everyday occurrence. For example, the latest attack which happened on the August seventeenth 2010, 57 Iraqi recruits and soldiers were killed in Baghdad, while 123 were seriously wounded by a suicide bomber who blew himself up at an army recruitment centre15. The consequence of this latest attacks is that even after seven years, coalition forces nominate failed to stabilize the country. Interestingly, Wehrey et al (2010) argues that the removal of Saddam upset a traditional balance of power in the region16, bringing further instability into the country.Traditionally, the balance of power in the region involved Iran and Arab nations. However with the Iraq war, the balance of power has now shifted towards Iran. Wehrey et al (2010) further argues that this shift in the balance of power has led to widespread concern amongst Arab states because of how e asily Iran can manoeuvre in the core of the Middle East, from Lebanon to Gaza17. Therefore one of the consequences of the war and the removal of Saddam has created the perception of increased vulnerability on the Arab side. 18The attempts to bring democracy assume also failed. Iraq is no more democratised then before. This can be proven by the recent election results. Although elections were successfully held in 2005 to create a transitional national assembly whose main purpose was to create a constitution. As a result Prime Minister Nouri Maliki was able to formulate a government. However the recent election results have so far not been so successful, as sixsome after Iraqis went to the polls, no winner has been declared imputable to delays and claims of vote rigging.The importance of the 2010 elections was great as the party who one would be the first to rule over a fully monarch Iraq since the invasion of Iraq in 2003. 19 However the months of political instability has brough t about fears of insurgency violence arising to levels seen between 2003-2006, where violence was at its highest. One of the major consequences of the war has been the huge loss of life. The BBC estimate that over 90,000 Iraqi civilians have been killed in since the beginning of the war. It estimated that nearly 5,000 casualties from the coalition forces20.However the number of causalities, both civilian and military, have been go in the last few years. The loss of creditability of both the US and UK governments have been another consequence of the war. Mitchell argues that a number of policy errors were made by both governments. He argues that opinions were not debated, intelligence was selectively used, the invasion lacked sufficient force, there was a failure to anticipate on insurgency and postwar planning was peaked(predicate) devised. There has been widespread anger that the reasons for war were found true, therefore as some claim, making the war unjust and illegal.In the ca se of the British Government, the then prime minster, Tony Blair, popularity had fallen hugely as many believed he had led the country into war under false pretences. Wehrey et al (2010) make an interesting point. They argue that once consequence of the Iraq war is that is has provided an anti-Western motivational focus and consolidated pre-existing grievances21. The beginning stages of the war particularly from 2003 to 2006, presented a narrative of resistance to the US led invasion that proved powerfully ttractive to people across the region whose immediate local grievances may have been unrelated to Iraq itself but who nonetheless may have been inspired toward violence by the war22. Furthermore Al-Qaeda, successfully portrayed Iraq as the most collision example of an infidel invasion of an Arab Muslim land23. The economic consequences of the Iraq war have also been great. Reports have suggested that the be of the war for the US is over three trillion dollars. Before the war, I raqs economy was weak due to decades of economic mismanagement by Saddam.Although Iraq was oil rich- it had huge debts due to Saddams wars in Iran and Kuwait. Furthermore economic sanctions from the UN during the 1990s heavily affected Iraqs economy. The country was never quite able to abjure back from the sanctions despite the large oil reserves. The impact of the war has worsened the situation. Unemployment it at an all time high and rebuilding infrastructure that was destroyed by the war, has been slow.The war has also brought about the problems of refugees. The United Nations commissioner for refugees argues that there are nearly one million refugees as a result of the war and roughly about 1. 5 million internally displaced person a third of who are living in settlements or camp-like situations in extremely poor conditions24. In conclusion, the main cause of the Iraq was the belief that Saddam Hussein was in possessions of weapons of mass destruction. Although it was no secret that Saddam had access to WMDs in the past, UN inspections would later find no grounds of them. Another cause for war was the belief that the overthrow of Saddams brutal regime would allow the democraztisation of the country which would improve Iraqi lives and lead to economic prosperity.Futhermore it would enable peace in a region which was riddled by conflict and instability. The toppling of saddams authoraitive rule and then eventual capture of the ruler was one of the rarified success stories of the war. However this seems to be the only one. An attempt to bring democracy to the country has yet to be achieved the casualities of the war have been high, people have lost confidence in governments and some have argued that the war has led to increased terror levels and consolidated an increased anti-western focus. Only time will tell the full extent of the wars further impacts.With America preparing to end its combat mission and end the number of American man in Iraq, Iraqs futur e looks dim. Even after six months of Iraqis going to the polls, a government has still not been formed. Fears are growing that Iraq still may not have the ability to provide security for itself or to be able to govern. Although Iraq may have got rid of their despot leader, the already weak country may have become even weaker as a result of the war.
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